On March 11, 2026, the weather in Srinagar, Kashmir, was marked by fresh snowfall in the higher reaches of the region, while several plains experienced light to moderate rain. This weather pattern follows a notably dry winter season, which saw a significant precipitation deficit across the area.

Recent Rainfall and Temperature Records

During the 24 hours leading up to 8:30 am on March 11, Kupwara received approximately 6.4 mm of rain, while Gulmarg recorded 2.8 mm and Srinagar itself saw around 1.2 mm of rainfall. The maximum temperature in Srinagar reached 17.6 degrees Celsius, which is about 2.9 degrees above the normal for this time of year. The minimum temperature settled at 10.5 degrees Celsius, around 7.2 degrees above the seasonal average.

Comparative Weather Conditions

In contrast, Gulmarg recorded the lowest minimum temperature in the Kashmir division at 2.4 degrees Celsius. Meanwhile, Jammu city experienced a maximum temperature of 31.2 degrees Celsius, nearly 5.8 degrees above normal, highlighting the varied climatic conditions across the region.

Winter Precipitation Deficit

This year, the region has faced its seventh consecutive winter rainfall deficit, with the core winter period from December 2025 to February 2026 concluding with a 65 percent precipitation deficit. This lack of adequate rainfall has raised concerns among local residents and agricultural stakeholders.

Forecast and Future Weather Patterns

The Meteorological Department has indicated that erratic weather conditions are expected to persist across Jammu and Kashmir until March 19. They noted, “Weather conditions across Jammu and Kashmir will remain erratic till March 19,” emphasizing the unpredictability of the current weather patterns.

Impact on Local Communities

The recent weather developments are significant for the local population, particularly for farmers and those reliant on agriculture, as the erratic weather could affect crop yields and water supply. The light to moderate precipitation recorded in various areas may provide some relief, but the ongoing deficit from the winter months raises concerns about long-term water availability.

As Srinagar and the surrounding regions navigate these recent weather changes, the community remains alert to the potential impacts on daily life and agriculture. The Meteorological Department’s forecasts will be closely monitored as residents prepare for the upcoming days of uncertain weather.

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On March 10, 2026, overnight rains lashed Srinagar and several other parts of Jammu and Kashmir, setting the stage for a series of weather developments in the region. The Meteorological Centre Srinagar reported that the region is likely to witness generally cloudy conditions with light to moderate rain in the plains and snowfall over higher reaches at many places.

Forecast for the Coming Days

The meteorological department has predicted more precipitation over the next few days. From March 10 to 11, generally cloudy conditions with light to moderate rain in the plains and snowfall over higher reaches are expected. Heavy rain is likely over the plains of Kupwara, Baramulla, and Bandipora districts, while moderate to heavy snowfall is possible over higher reaches including Sonamarg-Zojila axis, Sinthan top, Sadhna top, Razdan top, and Peer ki Gali.

Day temperatures are expected to fall by four to six degrees Celsius at many places after March 9, with the minimum temperature in Srinagar recorded at 3.3 degrees Celsius. The department has issued an advisory warning of temporary traffic disruption over higher reaches and important mountain passes due to snowfall.

Advice for Residents and Farmers

In light of the adverse weather conditions, farmers have been advised to suspend farm operations between March 10 and 12. Thunder and gusty winds with speeds of 30–40 kmph are possible at a few places between March 9 and 11, further complicating the situation.

Looking Ahead

Weather conditions are expected to improve from March 12 to 15, with generally dry weather and occasional cloudiness predicted. This shift will be welcomed by residents and farmers alike, as they navigate the challenges posed by the current weather system.

The sequence of events matters significantly for those involved, particularly farmers who rely on stable weather for their livelihoods. The advisories and forecasts issued by the meteorological department are crucial for planning and safety in the region.

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